Central Coast Chinook Are Back: Upwelling Sets Up the Salmon Season
Water temps of 54-55°F off Monterey (NOAA buoys 46042 and 46026) are delivering the signal Central Coast salmon anglers have been waiting for. Western Outdoor News - Saltwater correspondent Allen Bushnell reports from Monterey that the Chinook outlook has shifted meaningfully over the past month, driven by northwest winds pushing cold, nutrient-rich upwelling to the surface. 'Many of us almost forgot what it is like to have a real salmon season along the Central Coast,' Bushnell writes. Out of Half Moon Bay, Captain Jared Davis of the Salty Lady confirms the turnaround: a four-degree water-temperature drop below Pigeon Point has moved bonita offshore and drawn in the baitfish that Chinook follow, per Western Outdoor News - Saltwater. The offshore picture carries a significant caveat: swells are running 8 to nearly 11 feet and winds are sustained at 18-27 mph across NOAA monitoring stations. Only capable boats with experienced crews should plan offshore runs until conditions ease.
Current Conditions
- Water temp
- 55°F
- Moon
- Full Moon
- Tide / flow
- Swells 8.2-10.8 ft across three monitoring stations; launch early to catch calmer morning windows before afternoon winds build.
- Weather
- Strong northwest winds 18-27 mph with offshore swells reaching 8-11 feet; rough small-craft conditions.
New to these readings? What do water temp, cfs, tide, and moon phase actually mean for fishing?
What's Biting
Chinook Salmon
troll near cool-water upwelling seams and thermal edges
Rockfish
deep drops over structure at upwelling edges
California Halibut
slow drift over sandy bottom in nearshore breaks as swell moderates
Lingcod
large swimbaits on rocky reef structure
What's Next
The current pattern sets up a productive stretch if it holds. Northwest winds driving active upwelling are the engine of the Central Coast salmon fishery, and both NOAA buoy readings and captain reports suggest that engine is running. Captain Jared Davis of the Salty Lady (per Western Outdoor News - Saltwater) found the bite dramatically improved once temps dipped below 58°F near Pigeon Point; the same cool-water seam is measurable across buoys 46042, 46026, and 46028, spanning the coast from the Farallon Islands latitude south toward Point Conception. If northwest winds maintain or ease slightly, expect cool productive water to continue tracking inshore, concentrating bait and the Chinook that follow it.
The full moon on June 1 is a nuanced factor for offshore fishing. Lunar peaks historically correlate with aggressive feeding windows at dawn and dusk, when salmon push shallower to ambush bait schools. The flip side: full-moon brightness can scatter baitfish across a wider portion of the water column, making fish harder to locate on sonar. Early-morning launches, well before first light, will be the highest-percentage windows over the next several days regardless of which effect dominates.
Offshore swell is the dominant planning factor right now. Buoys 46042 and 46028 are reading 10.5-10.8 feet, with buoy 46026 closer to 8 feet. Any window where swell drops into the 4-6 foot range represents the sweet spot: enough surface texture to mask terminal tackle noise without pounding the boat. Monitor National Weather Service marine forecasts for the Monterey Bay and Big Sur coast zones before departure. Afternoon northwest winds typically build through the day on the Central Coast, so morning launches are preferred even on calmer days.
For anglers who cannot wait for a swell break, nearshore rockfish over deeper structure around the upwelling edge should remain active, as the nutrient flush attracts baitfish that pull rockfish into mid-column feeding mode. California halibut opportunities may improve in the shallower sandy zones inside Monterey Bay as swells moderate and bait settles into the bottom. Lingcod on rocky reef structure are a consistent background fishery this time of year, but they tend to fade to the queue behind salmon when the season opens in earnest.
If the northwest wind pattern holds through the week, Western Outdoor News - Saltwater's Bushnell report from Monterey suggests the corridor is showing the setup for a meaningfully improved early-June salmon stretch compared to the lean years that preceded it.
Context
The enthusiasm around this year's Central Coast salmon season carries the weight of recent history. After years of sharply curtailed or closed Chinook seasons driven by Sacramento River escapement concerns and broader Central Valley stock challenges, Western Outdoor News - Saltwater's Monterey correspondent Allen Bushnell captures the mood plainly: 'Many of us almost forgot what it is like to have a real salmon season along the Central Coast of California.' That framing matters: any productive season here represents a genuine shift, not simply a good week.
At this time of year, late May into early June, the Central Coast typically enters its prime Chinook window. The mechanism is upwelling: sustained northwest winds push surface water offshore, drawing cold, nutrient-dense water up from depth. That cold water feeds a cascade of life starting with phytoplankton, moving through krill and anchovies, and terminating in the Chinook that follow the bait column. What makes this early-June picture encouraging is that the upwelling appears to be running on schedule: the four- to five-degree temperature drop documented by Bushnell and confirmed by Captain Davis near Pigeon Point is the classic early-season setup, not an anomaly or a late-arriving system.
Water temps in the 54-60°F band across the three NOAA buoys span the ideal Chinook range. Salmon generally seek water in the 52-58°F zone, and the readings at buoys 46042 (55°F) and 46026 (54°F) sit squarely in that window. The 60°F reading at buoy 46028 points to a thermal gradient forming further offshore: that cool-to-warm seam is the edge where experienced captains focus their troll patterns.
Swell heights of 8-11 feet are elevated but not unusual for late May on the open Pacific coast. Conditions typically moderate as summer progresses and the North Pacific High strengthens. The fish are there now and the window is opening; the only gate is weather.
This report is synthesized by Hooked Fisherman from real-time NOAA buoy data, USGS stream gauges, and current reports across regional fishing blogs, captain updates, and angler forums. Source names are cited inline where they appear. Check local regulations before keeping fish. Never trust a single source for a trip decision.