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Archived report. Published September 30, 2026 and superseded by a newer report. View the current report →
SaltwaterFlorida · Florida Keys (flats & offshore)· September 30, 2026

Key West captains welcome first signs of fall relief

Water temperatures across the Florida Keys are holding in the mid-80s, 85.5°F at NOAA CO-OPS station 8724580 and 84.4°F at station 8723970, still squarely in late-summer range even as the calendar turns. Charter reports out of Key West back that up: ALL IN Key West notes the heat of summer is finally letting up a little after taking September off for boat upgrades, and trips are ramping back up heading into fall and winter.

CURRENT CONDITIONS
86°F
Water temp · 7-day
Waning Gibbous
Moon phase
Low near 6:51 AM, high near 1:41 PM at the Key West gauge; a second Keys station peaks near 3:44 AM and bottoms near 9:53 AM
Tide / flow
Check local forecast before heading out
Weather

New to these readings? What water temp, tide, and moon phase mean for fishing →

What's next

Tides this week run on a shifting schedule rather than a fixed clock. The Key West gauge shows a morning low near 6:51 AM and an afternoon high near 1:41 PM, while a second Keys station posts an overnight high near 3:44 AM and a late-morning low near 9:53 AM. With the moon in a waning gibbous phase, tidal swings should stay moderate through the weekend, favoring anglers who work the turn rather than chase peak current.

If the cooling trend ALL IN Key West is describing holds, expect the mid-80s water to start easing lower through October, the seasonal cue that typically kicks fall activity into gear across the flats and nearshore reefs. Plan trips around the tide changes above rather than a single time of day, and watch for continued relief from summer heat as the best early indicator the fall pattern is arriving.

Context

Late September into October is the hinge point of the Keys calendar. The worst of summer's heat and afternoon doldrums typically break around now, opening the door to the fall push that carries into the region's higher-profile winter season. Water still in the mid-80s is normal for this stretch, cooling gradually rather than dropping sharply, and the shift captains are reporting matches the usual seasonal rhythm rather than an early or late turn.

Synthesized from real-time NOAA buoy data, USGS stream gauges, and current reports across regional fishing blogs, captain updates, and angler forums. Check local regulations before keeping fish. Never trust a single source for a trip decision.

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