Bay tog and perch bite holds as stripers hold back
Delaware Bay water sits at 68°F at station 8557380, still warm for mid-October, and that is shaping a patchy bite. Per The Fisherman — Southern NJ, Big Dave's Tackle says the bay is holding on despite poor weather, with sheepshead at the lighthouses and a few kingfish, croakers and weakfish for boaters drifting deeper channels. Higbee's Bait and Tackle reports big white perch in the Fortescue-area creeks on bloodworms. Striper activity there has stayed mostly in the back bays from Ocean City down to Wildwood.
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Tides are the planning tool this week. The CO-OPS station shows low water near 5:47 AM local and high near 12:22 PM local today, so the afternoon incoming push into the high is the cleaner window for drifting channels and working creek mouths.
If cooler nights keep trimming that 68°F reading, expect the striper presence to build. The Fisherman — NJ/DE Surf notes stripers to 48 inches in the back bays around Cape May, and one outlet described a blitz at Hereford Inlet, so the fish are within reach of the lower bay. Per The Fisherman (Northeast), the NJ/DE Bay forecast also points to a big striper in the surf, and the report hints that more may follow. Weakfish and bluefish are the near-term fillers, per Golden Eagle Fishing in The Fisherman — Northern NJ, which reported small blues and weakfish just off the beaches.
Wind decides much of this. Several shops describe a stretch of rough weather, so check the marine forecast before committing to open water.
Context
Mid-October is the changeover period on the bay. Summer species such as kingfish and croaker thin out as the water cools, while tautog, striped bass and bluefish typically take over. Tog usually come on strong around structure and jetties as temperatures fall. Cape May shops, per The Fisherman — Southern NJ, already report plenty of keeper-size tog from local wrecks and reefs. Check state regulations for tog and striped bass seasons and size limits before harvesting.
Synthesized from real-time NOAA buoy data, USGS stream gauges, and current reports across regional fishing blogs, captain updates, and angler forums. Check local regulations before keeping fish. Never trust a single source for a trip decision.
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